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Sounds a lot like the discussion about MTVRs before they were released.
But in general I agree with you. I'll be shocked to see them released in my remaining lifespan.
Changing topic, to the OP's original question - I don't think $10k is going to get a 4man variant that doesn't need major...
Sounds implausible, right?
Except that quite a few things that were considered "zero probably events" happened. HMMWVs sold without shredding, MTVRs being surplussed, and the list goes on.
So I wouldn't bet long odds against it.